The "30 pounds of pressure" figure is one of the most cited numbers in home espresso, and it's worth understanding where it actually came from. It traces back to early commercial espresso training, where it functioned as a practical, easy-to-teach threshold, a way to make sure new baristas applied enough force to properly seat the puck, not a number derived from precise extraction physics. It was meant as a floor, not a target, but over decades of repetition it hardened into "the correct number," gauges got built around it, and it took on more authority than the original reasoning behind it ever had.
Here is what more recent, careful testing and widespread barista experience actually show: once ground coffee is compressed enough to eliminate the air pockets between particles, roughly in that same 15 to 30 pound range depending on grind and dose, additional force does very little. The coffee reaches a practical "lock-out point" where it simply won't compress much further, and pushing harder past that point doesn't meaningfully change flow rate or extraction. Side-by-side tests comparing shots tamped at 20 pounds versus 40 pounds, with equally level technique, tend to show only marginal differences.
What matters far more, and what the "hit exactly 30 pounds" framing tends to obscure, is levelness. A tamp applied at 25 pounds but tilted even slightly creates a puck that's denser on one side than the other. Water will always find that less-resistant side first, which is a direct path to channeling, regardless of how much total force you used. A slightly lighter tamp applied dead level will outperform a harder tamp applied crooked, every time.
The practical takeaway: apply firm, consistent pressure, somewhere in the 15 to 30 pound range is a reasonable target while you're building the habit but treat the exact number as far less important than making sure that pressure is even and repeatable shot after shot.